Poll

Who do you expect to win the debate Thursday night?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...



Ohio Blogger Headlines

Information Center

Voter's guide

Voting Issues

Primary and caucus tracker

State information sites

State political sites

Ohio's daily newspapers

Exclusive content

Candidate Profiles

Democratic Party Republican Party Independents mapcut.jpg See how Ohio has voted in the past 23 presidential elections

View Chip Bok's political cartoons


AP's Daily Campaign Minute


Blogroll




Quinnipiac Poll Presidential Shows Race Tightening

  • Author: Kyle Kutuchief
  • Filed under: Ohio 2008
  • Date: Jul 31,2008


Quinnipiac University released their new polling data this morning. Here are the results:

Florida: Obama has 46 percent to McCain's 44 percent, compared to a 47 - 43 percent Obama lead June 18;
Ohio: Obama has 46 percent to McCain's 44 percent, compared to a 48 - 42 percent Obama lead least time;
Pennsylvania: Obama leads McCain 49 - 42 percent, compared to 52 - 40 percent.

This isn't good news, but it isn't all bad. As the polling memo says, it is tough to tell whether the tightening is a result of Obama's overseas trip or the natural letdown after the post primary bump. Regardless, it is not the kind of trend I was hoping to see out of this respected poll. Still, Obama is close in these key states and ahead in Pennsylvania. The results of this poll will get McCain some positive press and refocus this race on domestic issues.

McCain has launched a new ad yesterday taking a shot at Obama's overseas trip. Here it is:

I think this ad is awful, but it made a lot of news over the past 24 hours and was thus successful. As happened in 2000 and 2004, the Republican candidate is the first to start to go negative. The problem is that Democrats in the past have been reluctant to hit back and have tried to take the high road. The Obama campaign needs to start to define John McCain and stop this race from being a referendum on Barack Obama. The Obama campaign has issued a response ad:

Related: Lanny Davis has an article in todays Wall Street Journal making the case for why Senator Clinton should be Obama's running mate.



8 Responses for "Quinnipiac Poll Presidential Shows Race Tightening"

  1. larry d. July 31st, 2008 at 8:57 am

    The first to go negative? Hah!

  2. The Nose July 31st, 2008 at 9:11 am

    The democrats were the first to go negative and the exact years was 1964. They have not been positive since.

  3. Largebill July 31st, 2008 at 9:25 am

    Dems pretend that Republicans go negative first each time. However, that completely ignores the "in the bag" media which can go negative earlier allowing the Dems to pretend their hands are clean. Problem with that thought is when the NYT publishes a front page innuendo smear job on McCain it is the same as if Howard Dean was the editor. Funny, NYT saw fit to publish ten year old rumors of an affair in McCain's case with no evidence, but Edwards paying $15K a month in hush money to the mother of his illegitimate child isn't newsworthy. Hmmm? Anyone with a clue understands that the media is extremely slanted to the left.

  4. anne July 31st, 2008 at 9:45 am

    The case can be made however he wants, but Hillary won't be asked to be the VP. Unfortunately for her, that ship has sailed. Look for someone with new blood.

  5. Ben Keeler July 31st, 2008 at 10:32 am

    "This isn't good news, but it isn't all bad. As the polling memo says, it is tough to tell whether the tightening is a result of Obama's oversees trip or the natural letdown after the post primary bump."

    Why would the tightening polls be a result of Obama's overseas trip? I thought it was a smashing success.

  6. Ben Keeler July 31st, 2008 at 10:38 am

    Also, the new McCain ad is great. I know the ad has hit too close to home because so many Democrats on the internet are so upset about it.

    If that is defined as a negative ad…….well then I dont know what to tell you.

  7. larry d. July 31st, 2008 at 8:00 pm

    The commercial is quite mild but the Obamatons' nerves are very close to the surface these days.

  8. john August 1st, 2008 at 1:18 pm

    Can't help but believe that as the tides come in and out on this campaign cycle, that Clinton will emerge as the strongest person to bolster the Dem's ticket.

    Yeah…..I know you don't like her negatives, as I don't….but the reality is that in close states like Ohio (polling shows neck in neck between Obamma and McCain) Clinton would make a big difference !


Leave a comment


Advertisement